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Taxonomic predictions

               RIVPACS can provide taxonomic predictions at
               five taxonomic levels:

               •  TL1  =  taxa recognised by BMWP indices
               •  TL2  =  taxa recognised by WHPT indices
               •  TL3  =  all families included in RIVPACS
               •  TL4  =  all species included in RIVPACS species
               •  TL5  =  mixed taxon level (a practical, mainly
                         species level of analysis but with less
                         easily recognised species identified to
                         higher taxonomic levels)
               And for each season:
               •  Spring   =  March, April and May
               •  Summer  =  June, July and August
               •  Autumn  =  September, October and November     Compare
               For every taxon at every taxon level in each season,   RICT Compare calculates the significance and
               RIVPACS predicts the following:                   direction of differences between two classifications.
               •  Numerical abundance                            This is useful for comparing whether the status of
               •  Log 10  abundance category: 1–9, 10–99, 100–999,   a site has changed between surveys or if there is
                 1000–9999, >10,000                              a significant difference in class between two sites,
               •  Probability of occurrence                      such as control and impact sites in an investigation
                                                                 (eg upstream and downstream from suspected
               •  Probability of each log 10  abundance category
                                                                 pollution). Compare provides information about the
                                                                 statistical significance of differences in Ecological
               Follow guidance in the RICT2 User Guide, which
               you can download from the User Guides page of the   Quality Ratios, taking into account sampling and
               RICT/RIVPACS web page https://www.fba.org.        analytical error. It also gives the probabilities of each
               uk/rivpacs-and-rict/rict-rivpacs-user-guides      combination of class for each pair of samples being
                                                                 compared.





               All indices prediction                            Downloading and editing

                                                                 RICT2 programs
               RIVPACS currently predicts a wide range of biotic
               indices, including most of the indices described in this
               handbook.                                         RICT2 programs and internal data files can be viewed,
                                                                 modified and downloaded from the RICT2 website.
               RICT software cannot currently adjust and convert   The programs have been written in R so that they can
               RIVPACS predictions into predictions of WFD       be edited by researchers.
               reference values (Chapter 3 Section 3.3) except for
               the forms of WHPT ASPT and WHPT Ntaxa that are    Further advice is given in the RICT2 User Guide and
               used for classification.                          in the Build Guidance which can be downloaded from
                                                                 the RICT/RIVPACS user guides web page https://
                                                                 www.fba.org.uk/rivpacs-and-rict/rict-rivpacs-
                                                                 user-guides. The RIVPACS reference database
                                                                 used to build RIVPACS has been uploaded to the
                                                                 Reports page of the RIVPACS/RICT website https://
                                                                 www.fba.org.uk/rivpacs-and-rict/rivpacs-rict-
                                                                 resources. Development of the current taxonomic
                                                                 prediction and prediction of other biotic indices are
                                                                 described in Davy-Bowker et al. (2010).  (32)






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