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CHAPTER 5     3.2.2 – 3.2.3  3.2.2  RIVPACS Model 44   Currently, RIVPACS Model 44 exists only as an experimental





            The width, depth and nature of the substrate measured at a
            site may not represent the natural state of the river because
                                                              system for Great Britain, so that its performance can be
                                                              tested. GIS data has been compiled by CEH UK (Centre for
            many have been re-sectioned, particularly over-deepened
                                                              Ecology and Hydrology) for all the environmental parameters
            for land drainage, flood conveyance or navigation. The flow
                                                              used by Model 44 (except for alkalinity) but based around
            in many rivers may also be very different to the natural state
            because of abstraction or discharges. As a result, when
            measured values are used in RIVPACS, the fauna that it
                                                              for which do not allow it to be released to the public domain
                                                              other than one site at a time.
            predicts may not be the natural fauna. To overcome this, a
            new predictive model, RIVPACS Model 44 (Clark & Davy-  a proprietary GIS river network, the licencing requirements
            Bowker 2017, 2018)  (119) (120)  has been developed in which   Until the new model has been tested and its performance is
            these environmental parameters have been replaced by   better that the original RIVPACS model, it will not be released
            parameters from Geographic Information Systems (GIS-  for operational use. An advantage of obtaining environmental
            systems) that are not affected by human interventions. Model   parameters from GIS is that users will not have to compile
            44 is potentially very useful for water resource assessment;   the environmental input data themselves, other than the
            but before it can be used operationally, it needs to be tested,   Ordnance Survey grid reference and alkalinity. Obtaining the
            because substrate, width and depth are strong predictors.   correct environmental input data relies on the grid reference
            The loss of predictive power caused by their omission could   being correct.
            balance any improvements that Model 44 provides.


               RIVPACS Model 44

               An experimental, predictive model utilising GIS to substitute environmental information from pristine environments.
               This enables the natural state of the river to be simulated into the predictions.


               Comparison of environmental predictors for RIVPACS Model 1 and Model 44


                RIVPACS IV general model 1               RIVPACS IV model 44
                Sample data                              Sample data

                Width                                                                 Key
                Depth                                    Geo-chemistry
                Substrate   % clay / silt                One of:                      Red parameters entered
                                                                                      into RICT
                          % sand                         alkalinity   total hardness  *  Calculated by RICT
                          % gravel / pebbles             calcium   conductivity
                          % cobbles / boulders                                      ** Obtained from database
                                                         Map data                     hosted with RICT using
                  mean particle size*                    OS grid reference            OS grid reference
                                                              mean air temperature*
                Geo-chemistry
                                                              air temperature range*
                One of:                                       latitude *
                alkalinity   total hardness  Replaced         longitude*
                calcium   conductivity          by            Altitude **
                Map data                                      Distance from source **
                                                              Slope **
                OS grid reference                             Discharge category **
                     mean air temperature*
                     air temperature range*                   % drift geology class in upstream catchment
                     latitude                                 Class 1  –  Peat**
                     longitude*                               Class 3  –  Clay**
                                                              Class 6  –  Chalk**
                   Altitude                                   Class 7  –  Limestone**
                   Distance from source                       Class 8  –  Hard Rocks**
                   Slope                                      Upstream catchment area**
                   Discharge category or velocity             Mean altitude of upstream catchment**


                                                                                                   Figure 5.12
                Anything in red font can be entered into RICT. You can either enter alkalinity, calcium concentration, total hardness or electrical conductivity.
             RIVPACS converts these to alkalinity which is the predictor variable. Likewise, you can either enter discharge category or flow velocity. If you enter
              the latter, RIVPACS will estimate discharge category, which it uses as the predictor variable. Model 44 is a flow and sediment independent model.

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